Wednesday, August 14, 2013

FantasyGuru.com: 2013 Draft Plan (8/14/13

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8/14/13:

FantasyGuru.com’s John Hansen has published his Draft Plan Manifesto for 12 years, and it’s the most detailed plan of action you’ll find anywhere this year. The plan, which checks in at 15,500 words, breaks down a specific plan of action by position for QBs, RBs, WRs, TEs, PKs, and Defenses. But it also covers general strategies and tips, lists specific players to target from 1-200, PPR leagues, 2-QB leagues, 6-Point per TD leagues, Auctions, IDP, and more.

But the meat and potatoes of plan will be the most detailed step-by-step guidance you’ll see this summer. In addition to covering a general plan of action for the first four rounds of your draft, the plan painstakingly maps out the first 13 rounds for each draft position from 1-12. So if you have the #10 pick or the #5 pick and aren’t sure what do to, the plan will show you a strong course of action using ADP as a guideline.

Here’s a snippet from the article published on 8/14 that covers a plan of action for those who have the #1 pick: 

Drafting from slots 1-3 

First up, with my first pick, I’m taking a RB no ifs, ands, or buts about it. Ideally, that’s the best way to start off a draft: selecting a stud runner who is young, durable, and versatile, and who immediately solidifies my backfield.  

Let’s start from the #1 spot: 

Team One 

Adrian Peterson

This was previously a fairy tough spot because the quality RBs dry up quickly, and it’s earlier than I’d like to draft a QB, so per the ADP here on 8/14, these two players are fantastic options with my next two picks:

Randall Cobb
Reggie Bush

Note: You can sub out Bush for Stevan Ridley in a non-PPR.

That is a really good start because it has all the elements I want in a PPR: A #1 WR to be my foundation, and 2 RBs.

It’s odd that I like my team from the #1 spot here on 8/14 more than I did two weeks ago, but per the ADP I can next take these two options:

Le'Veon Bell
Pierre Garcon

So far, this is perfect. I may not be loaded at WR, but I have two players I really like to hold down the fort, and three great RB options.

Next up, I did miss out on my favorite values at QB in Cam Newton and Andrew Luck, but I can get a QB I like in the 6th still with:

Russell Wilson (or Tony Romo)

This isn’t a great spot for my TE, and I do have 3 RBs, so I clearly need to go WR. Anquan Boldin is there per the ADP, and he would be a very solid pick. But I’m feeling strong here, so let’s go for a knockout blow with this guy because he looks fantastic this summer:

T.Y. Hilton

This really is an unbelievable start, so let’s continue. I’m at an advantage here because I can plan ahead by looking at the ADP, but you can do that, too. It’s not fool-proof, but it’s definitely better than going in blind.

Looking forward, the quality depth RB guys are dwindling, and while I’ll be passing on a few really nice WRs here, I do see other strong options available later, so let’s grab these two upside guys:

Bryce Brown
Jermichael Finley

And now we can add some quality depth at RB and WR with:

Pierre Thomas
Chris Givens

It’s advisable to get a steadier backup TE if I take Finley, but I can’t help myself but to play to win, so let’s roll with another upside TE and get my backup QB here with

Coby Fleener
Sam Bradford

Here’s how this team stacks up:

Adrian Peterson
Randall Cobb
Reggie Bush
Le'Veon Bell
Pierre Garcon
Russell Wilson
T.Y. Hilton
Bryce Brown
Jermichael Finley
Pierre Thomas
Chris Givens
Coby Fleener
Sam Bradford

I really like this squad. I’m a little thin at WR, but finding another strong option in the late rounds or on the WW isn’t too much to ask.

We were talking in the office this week about how we’re still seeing people take unexciting players, even has-beens, over really appealing options. This team is quite “Gurrific” in that it’s entirely comprised of players whom we’re excited about and we’re targeting. There are no has-beens here, and mostly options who should be soon-to-be stars.

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Over 100 articles plus 5 different excel tools, Draft Analyzer software, PDF sheets, and more. We're still adding up updating articles every day, but here's what's online now:

GENERAL ARTICLES

The Stock Watch - 8/13
2013's Values & Players to Target - 8/12
2013 Rookie Report - 8/12
2013 Position Battles - 8/12
Preseason Game Reviews - 8/12
2013 ADP Report - 8/9
2013 Overvalues & Players to Avoid - 8/9
Preseason Stock Watch #1 - 8/8
Top Backups - 8/7
Contract Year Players - 8/7
Breakout Receivers - 8/6
PPR Gold - 8/5
2013 Remaining Free Agents - 7/30
2013 Offensive Line Previews - 7/29
TD Vultures - 7/18
Player Profiles I PDF Form
Off-Season Wrap-up Reports - 6/30
2013 SOS Analysis - 5/15
2013 Rookie Player Profiles
Distance Scoring Analysis - 3/28
2013 Pre-Draft Rookie Report - 3/27
300/100-Yard Bonus Analysis - 3/25
2012 Catch Rate Analysis - 3/21
2013 Combine Wrap-Up - 3/6
2013 Coaching Changes - 2/22
2012's Lessons Learned - 2/11
2012 Wrap-Up Reports and 2013 Previews - 2/8

 RANKINGS & PROJECTIONS

2013 Season Projections - 8/13
Custom Cheat Sheet - 8/13
2013 PPR Cheat Sheet (PDF) - 8/13
2013 Non-PPR Cheat Sheet (PDF) - 8/13
2013 PPR Top-200 (PDF) - 8/13
2013 Non-PPR Top-200 (PDF) - 8/13
2013 Generic Auction Values - 8/9
Keeper/Dynasty Startup Cheat Sheet - 8/9

STRATEGY

2013 Draft Plan - 8/14
Playing High-Stakes at a High Level - 8/12
Permutation Drafting for 2013 - 8/6
14/16-Team Draft Plan - 8/6
The Mispricing Manifesto - 8/5
8-Team Draft Plan - 8/4
Riding the QB Stream in 2013 - 8/1
6 Points for Passing TDs - 7/27
2-QB League Strategies - 7/25
In Too Many Leagues - 7/24
General Draft Strategies & Tips - 7/22
Startup Keeper/Dynasty Draft Plan - 7/2
2013 Target Matrix - 7/2
Demystifying D/STs - 7/18/12
Rate of Diffusion - 1/5/12

 STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Off. Identities: Coaching Changes Part 3 - 8/14
Off. Identities: Coaching Changes Part 2 - 8/13
Off. Identities: Coaching Changes Part 1 - 8/12
Jimmy Graham or No Jimmy Graham? - 8/9
Offensive Identities - 8/4
Riding the QB Stream in 2013 - 8/1
2-QB League Stat Analysis - 7/18
Distance Scoring Analysis - 3/28
300/100-Yard Bonus Analysis - 3/25
2012 Catch Rate Analysis - 3/21

KEEPER/DYNASTY STUFF

Keeper/Dynasty League Rankings - 8/9
Keeper/Dynasty Startup Cheat Sheet - 8/9
Startup Keeper/Dynasty Draft Plan - 7/2
Keeper League Strategies & Tactics - 7/1 

IDP/KICK RETURNER

2013 Top-100 IDPs - 8/14
IDP Values & Players to Target + Overvalues - 8/14
2013 IDP Rookie Report - 8/14
2013 IDP Draft Plan - 8/9
IDP Strategy Tips and Draft Plan - 8/9
2013's Special Teams Rankings - 8/9
2013's Top-30 Return Men - 8/6
Understanding IDP - 7/26
What is IDP - 7/26
Understanding Basic Defensive Concepts - 7/16

 AUCTION

Auction Guru Excel Tool - 8/13
Keep Calm and Auction On - 8/11
2013 Generic Auction Values - 8/9
2013 Auction Values Overview - 8/9
Auction Tips from an Auctioneer - 8/8
TGR Analysis Auction League - 8/6
12-Team Mock Auction Review - 8/2
Auction Strategies, Guidelines, & Tips - 7/22
Everything about Auctions - 7/16
2013 Auction Draft Plan - 6/3
How to "Cheat" at Your Auction - 8/3/12

 MOCK DRAFTS

14-Team PPR Mock Review - 8/13
10-Team Non-PPR Mock Review - 8/12
12-Team, 2-QB, PPR Mock - 8/7
12-Team Mock Auction Review - 8/2
10-Team PPR Mock Review - 7/30
12-Team PPR Mock Review - 7/26

Plus!

  • New site design
  • Draft Analyzer software
  • Draft Guru iPhone app
  • Upgraded MyGuru iPhone/Droid App
  • Auction Guru (Excel)
  • FANTASYGURU.COM NEWS FEED
  • More articles than ever
  • New Game Center Interface
  • Projections Filtering
  • Larger staff

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